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Thursday, July 16, 2026

MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (40-57) Scott vs. Philadelphia Phillies (54-43) A Nola

GAME ODDS: Philadelphia Phillies – 120 Run Line 1.5 + 157 Over/Under 9

PREVIEW:

First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — 1 Citizens Bank Way, Philadelphia, PA

Surface: Grass

Capacity: 42,792

Probable Pitchers:

• NYM: Scott (RHP) — 4.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP
• PHI: Aaron Nola (RHP) — 3.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP

Weather Update (Philadelphia, PA — July 16, 2026)

• Temperature: 84°F at first pitch
• Sky: Mostly clear
• Wind: Light WNW at 6–8 mph (slight push toward left field)
• Humidity: Moderate
• Rain: <10% chance

Conditions favor pitchers early, with mild winds and no humidity spikes.

Team Records & Standings

New York Mets (40–57)

• Road Record: 18–30
• Last 10 Games: 3–7
• Current Form: Lost 5 of last 7
• NL East: 5th place

Philadelphia Phillies (54–43)

• Home Record: 29–19
• Last 10 Games: 6–4
• Current Form: Won 4 of last 5
• NL East: 2nd place

Phillies are trending upward, while the Mets continue to struggle with consistency and run production.

Recent Team Form

Mets — Last Five Games

• L vs Miami, 6–3
• L vs Miami, 4–2
• W vs Miami, 5–4
• L at Atlanta, 8–2
• L at Atlanta, 7–3

Offense: Averaging just 3.4 runs per game over last five. Pitching: Rotation has allowed 6.2 runs per game in that span.

Phillies — Last Five Games

• W vs Washington, 7–2
• W vs Washington, 5–3
• L vs Washington, 4–3
• W at Pittsburgh, 6–1
• W at Pittsburgh, 5–2

Offense: Averaging 5.2 runs per game over last five. Pitching: Staff ERA of 2.40 over last five — elite form.

Series History

• 2026 Season Series: Phillies lead 5–2
• Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 7–3
• At Citizens Bank Park: Phillies have won 9 of last 12 vs Mets

Philadelphia has dominated the matchup recently, especially at home.

Injury Report

New York Mets

• Francisco Lindor — Questionable (hamstring tightness)
• Starling Marte — Out (wrist fracture)
• Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder rehab)
• Jeff McNeil — Probable (back stiffness)

Philadelphia Phillies

• Bryce Harper — Probable (elbow soreness)
• Trea Turner — Out (quad strain)
• Ranger Suárez — Out (forearm inflammation)
• Brandon Marsh — Probable (knee bruise)

Turner’s absence hurts Philly’s speed and top‑of‑order production, but Harper’s availability keeps the lineup dangerous.

Key Player Matchups

Scott (NYM) vs Aaron Nola (PHI)

• Scott struggles with command and home runs allowed.
• Nola is in strong mid‑season form, with elite strikeout‑to‑walk ratios.
• Edge: Phillies — significant.

Pete Alonso (NYM) vs Aaron Nola (PHI)

• Alonso has 3 HR in last 10 games.
• Nola has held Alonso to a .214 career average.
• Edge: Nola.

Bryce Harper (PHI) vs Scott (NYM)

• Harper hitting .318 over last 15 games.
• Scott allows a .287 average to left‑handed hitters.
• Edge: Harper — major mismatch.

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs Mets Bullpen

• Mets bullpen ranks bottom‑five in ERA.
• Schwarber has 4 HR in last 8 games.
• Edge: Schwarber.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Mets	Phillies
Runs/Game	4.03	4.92
Team ERA	4.71	3.88
Bullpen ERA	4.89	3.62
OPS	.689	.742
Road/Home Split	.421 win%	.604 win%

Phillies hold the advantage in every major category.

Betting Trends

New York Mets

• 2–6 in last 8 road games
• Under is 5–2 in last 7
• 1–4 in last 5 vs Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies

• 6–1 in last 7 home games
• 5–2 ATS in last 7
• Under is 4–1 in last 5 at home