Free Picks

Sunday, November 30, 2025

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder (19-1) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (8-11)

ODDS: Oklahoma City Thunder – 13 Over/Under 232

PREVIEW: Injury Report

Oklahoma City is remarkably healthy, a key to their 19-1 mark, while Portland’s frontcourt woes persist, thinning their rotation and exposing rookie-heavy lineups. The NBA’s official injury report (as of 8:30 p.m. ET on November 29) details the following—monitor warmups for Ayton and Holmgren, as back-to-backs loom for OKC.

TeamPlayerStatusInjury/Illness Details
ThunderChet HolmgrenProbableRight Ankle; Minor Sprain (from 11/27)
ThunderOusmane DiengOutG League – On Assignment
ThunderAjay MitchellOutG League – Two-Way
BlazersDeandre AytonQuestionableRight Calf; Strain
BlazersJerami GrantAvailableNo Injury (post-rest)
BlazersDonovan ClinganOutLeft Knee; Soreness
BlazersDuop ReathOutG League – Two-Way
BlazersRayan RupertOutG League – On Assignment

Thunder’s Isaiah Joe is day-to-day with a hamstring tweak but expected to play limited minutes.

Team Records

TeamOverall RecordHome/Away SplitATS RecordO/U Record
Oklahoma City Thunder19-110-0 Home / 9-1 Away14-69-11
Portland Trail Blazers8-115-4 Home / 3-7 Away9-1010-9

OKC boasts the league’s best record and net rating (+12.4), while Portland ranks 13th in the West, struggling with a -2.8 point differential.

Recent Team Forms

The Thunder are unstoppable, winners of 18 straight after an opening loss, with top-tier defense (102.6 PPG allowed) and unselfish play (29.4 APG). Portland has stabilized somewhat (3-2 last five) but falters against elite foes, yielding 118.2 points in losses to top-10 teams.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 5 Games (5-0):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
11/27/2025@ MinnesotaW 108-102SGA: 34 pts, 8 ast; D holds MIN to 38% FG
11/24/2025vs. LA LakersW 112-105Holmgren: 22 pts, 10 reb, 4 blk; Road-like D at home
11/22/2025@ DenverW 118-114Williams: 26 pts off bench; Clutch stops
11/20/2025vs. SacramentoW 124-110SGA triple-double; 16-2 run
11/17/2025@ Golden StateW 115-108Team: 14 threes; Balanced attack

Portland Trail Blazers – Last 5 Games (3-2):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
11/28/2025vs. UtahW 122-118Henderson: 28 pts, 10 ast; Home thriller
11/25/2025@ PhoenixL 116-109Grant: 24 pts; Late fouls hurt
11/23/2025vs. San AntonioW 110-105Ayton: 20 pts, 12 reb (if plays); Rebuild W
11/21/2025@ LA ClippersL 128-120Ayton: 18 pts; High-pace loss
11/19/2025vs. MemphisW 114-108Henderson: 25 pts; Young guns shine

Series History

Oklahoma City dominates the all-time series (78-62 over 140 games), and they’ve been ruthless lately, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings by an average of 11.4 points. Portland’s last win came in 2023 (a 113-106 home victory), but OKC has taken all three 2025 encounters, including a 120-109 rout in OKC on November 10. The Blazers are 4-6 in last 10 home vs. Thunder, often covering as big dogs.

Key Historical Trends:

Thunder 8-2 SU last 10 head-to-heads.

Under in 7 of last 9 meetings (avg. 214 points).

Portland covers +15 in 6 of last 8 as home dogs vs. OKC.

Player Matchups

OKC’s length and switchability overwhelm Portland’s inexperience, but Scoot Henderson’s growth could test the Thunder’s backcourt. With Ayton questionable, the paint becomes a Thunder playground—expect Chet Holmgren to feast.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder, 31.2 PPG, 6.4 APG) vs. Scoot Henderson (Blazers, 18.6 PPG, 5.8 APG): SGA’s efficiency (58% TS) exploits Henderson’s on-ball learning curve; Scoot’s speed forces switches, but turnovers (3.8 per game) loom. Edge: Thunder.

Chet Holmgren (Thunder, 17.4 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.6 BPG) vs. Deandre Ayton (Blazers, Q; 16.8 PPG, 10.4 RPG): Chet’s range and shot-blocking (projected 4+ blocks) dominates if Ayton sits; even matchup otherwise, but OKC’s +6.2 rebound edge prevails. Edge: Thunder.

Jalen Williams (Thunder, 20.8 PPG) vs. Jerami Grant (Blazers, 22.4 PPG): Williams’ two-way versatility neutralizes Grant’s scoring, holding him under 20 in last H2H. Edge: Thunder.

Josh Giddey (Thunder, 12.2 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 6.4 APG) vs. Anfernee Simons (Blazers, 21.2 PPG): Giddey’s vision disrupts Simons’ isos, key for OKC’s No. 1 assist-to-turnover ratio. Watch Cason Wallace as bench spark.

X-Factor: Thunder’s bench (42.6 PPG, league-best) vs. Portland’s youth (turnover-prone at 14.2 per game).

Betting Trends

OKC enters as -16.5 road favorites (ML: -1500), Portland +16.5 (+900). Over/under at 220.5, favoring the under with OKC’s defensive clampdowns (under in 7/10 road games).

Key Trends:

Thunder: 19-1 SU; 12-8 ATS as big favorites; Under in 9/11 road games.

Blazers: 3-2 SU last 5; 6-4 ATS home; Over in 7/11 vs. Northwest.

Head-to-Head: Under in 7/9; OKC 8-2 ATS last 10.

SELECTION: Portland + 13

YESTERDAY’S SELECTION: Los Angeles Clippers – 7 (L)

STREAK: Lost 1, Winners of 8 of last 11 overall selections

FREE PICK RECORD STARTING 12-03-2024: 154-88-3 +$7,959.00